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NEWS & LETTERS, MAY 2003

No hard times?

New York--The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced April 4 that nonfarm payroll employment in the U.S. fell by 108,000 in March. It also revised its estimate of February’s job loss to a whopping 357,000. Since the recession officially began in March 2001, there has been a net loss of 2.1 million jobs. More than one-fifth of the total, 465,000 jobs, have been eliminated during the past two months alone.

Largely for this reason, on March 7--the same day that the February job loss figures were reported--the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research declared that it was too early to determine whether the recession has ended. The committee’s determinations are accepted as official by the U.S. government.

If the committee eventually does determine that the economy was still in recession in March, this recession will be the longest one, by far, since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Events like these disclose that, although the military power of the U.S. is unrivaled in world history, it lacks the power to transcend the recurrent crises of capitalist production.

--Andrew Kliman

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