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NEWS & LETTERS, APRIL 2003

Discontented masses shun elections in Iran

Iranians not only have lost their belief in the ballot and reform efforts of President Khatami, but are also looking for an alternative outside of the Islamic regime. Low urban voter turnout for the nationwide local council elections March 1 is evidence of this.

While voter turnout was as high as 95% in rural areas, it was only 10% to 12% of eligible voters in Tehran and other major cities like Isfahan in central Iran. Low turnout also indicates a serious crisis for the legitimacy of the conservative Islamic regime which insists that voting is a religious duty. In short, the low turnout has seriously damaged the Islamic regime's hope of maintaining power with limited reforms.

During the last 24 years the Islamist regime has tried to blame outsiders, especially U.S. imperialism, for its own failure to respond to any demands by the Iranian people. It has been suppressing the working people of Iran. A recent labor law, for instance, exempts workshops of 10 employees or fewer from the minimal rights stipulated in the labor law, affecting millions.

Furthermore political, economic and social conditions are unalterable for all Iranians. And today almost 70% of the Iranian population lives in absolute poverty. This fact, along with the lack of any political and social freedoms, constitutes the main reasons for disbelief in the ballot.

People have few illusions about this regime, as many are mobilizing against it. At the same time, Islamic fundamentalism is a reactionary force that, unlike in the past, Western powers led by the U.S. are not going to tolerate.

In that context, the Iranian government is trying hard to maintain its position in the region. That is why they supported the U.S. in its war against the Taliban in Afghanistan. The Islamist regime in Iran also does not mind if the U.S. overthrows Saddam Hussein. In fact, they are looking for a greater role in the next Iraqi regime especially through Iraq's Shi'ites.

At the same time that the U.S. government is going to war against Iraq, Bush's cabinet is keeping a close eye on the Iranian opposition movement because the recent events can yet affect the whole Middle East.

--Ali

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