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NEWS & LETTERS, December 2002

The political, religious and ethnic conflict in Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast--What seems to have been a military mutiny has now become an organized attempt to overthrow the government of President Laurent Gbagbo. About 750 military men who were recruited into the army by former military dictator General Guei are said to be resisting demobilization and are at the core of the rebel forces demanding Gbagbo's resignation  .

BACKGROUND TO CRISIS

To understand the crisis in Ivory Coast one has to start from the beginning. Ivory Coast, until recently a relatively peaceful country under the one-party neocolonial and brutal regime of President Houphouet- Boigny (who ruled from independence in the 1960s until his death in 1993), witnessed serious economic problems in the 1980s. The 1980s saw the birth of a pro-democracy movement, which saw the masses challenge the neocolonial forces in the Ivorian cities.

The corruption and misadministration deepened to such an extent by the 1990s that political reform became inevitable. Yet political reform by itself proved unable to resolve the crisis.

Alassane Ouattara, who was an official of the World Bank and the IMF, was brought into the government and later made prime minister to put the economy into shape. He then became involved in a battle with Kone Bedie, who took over after the death of President Boigny in 1993. The economy, however, never regained its strength and poverty deepened as a result of a military coup in 1999, led by General Guei. Since Guei was confronted with mass resistance in the streets, he had no other choice but to call another general election.

At this time the preferred candidate of western imperialism, Ouattara, was disqualified from the elections on the grounds of his alleged Burkinabi citizenship. Ouattara then took political power into his hands and tolerated very little opposition to his IMF-dictated economic reforms. This brought him into conflict with Laurent Gbagbo, who came from the Ivorian radical left.

Ouattara began his IMF-dictated privatization program with French companies as his primary clients. But these reforms quickly cost him his political power. Guei, who had called an election which he then lost to Gbagbo, was forced out of power by the Ivorian masses after he insisted that his party had won the election.

Gbagbo won the election with the firm promise that he would throw out all IMF programs and refuse to pay the foreign debt, which he insisted has never served the interests of the Ivorian people. Both France and the international financial institutions saw that their interests were at stake. Within two days of the start of the recent crisis on Sept. 19 of this year, when an uprising against President Gbagbo occurred, General Guei was murdered by government forces and Ouattara sought refuge at the French embassy. Burkinabi citizens in the country were brutally attacked and their homes and property put on fire and destroyed. The crisis became framed as one between the Muslim North and the Christian South.

The French, who sent military forces, claim to be there to save their citizens and other foreign nationals. They say this is an internal crisis in which they have no mandate to intervene, but French forces have intervened in many internal conflicts in the continent, including in Ivory Coast. The most open and brutal example was when they helped overthrow the elected government in Congo-Brazzaville of Pascal Lissouba, after he insisted on revising and/or annulling agreements that the former government had made with French companies as part of an IMF-dictated privatization program, which would have handed over government-controlled companies to French interests at give-away prices. It is no accident France is being accused of having a hand in this rebellion.

Burkina Faso, under the reactionary leadership of President Blaise Campaore (who in the 1980s murdered one of the most able leaders in the postcolonial history of the continent, Thomas Sankara) also has an interest in fomenting this crisis, in part because of Campaore's close ties with Quattara.

ETHNICITY AND POLITICS

We know that Laurent Gbagbo, who came to power not only by winning a general election but also through popular mass resistance against military dictatorship on an anti-imperialist program, never grounded this victory with the masses. He could have done better than further escalating the Ivorian internal crisis along ethnic and regional lines.

The ethnicity card has divided the country into two parts, with the religious division as the contributing factor. This has changed the nature of the state, which from the start had tried to bring together the different forces in the country. The northern part of the country is mainly inhabited by Muslims, who are accused by the government of harboring the rebels. This is why the mainly Muslim Burkinabis have been accused of playing a role in the fighting. This has left many Muslims vulnerable to brutal attacks from not only ordinary Ivorians but also from the military. Statist fascism has so far been the only response from the government to the crisis. Contrary to the disinformation that part of the international press is consciously spreading, this rebellion has been well organized and is not only due to some military men angry about being demobilized. The fact that the rebels are unwilling to reveal their leadership also indicates that foreign interests may be at play.

ECONOMIC REALITIES

The economic crisis since the end of the 1980s is at the core of the political crisis. The price of the main cash crop, cacao, has since been falling and is responsible for much distress in the national economy (the majority of the population are farmers). The UN is saying that food shortages will become severe within six months. This will produce more atrocities in the struggle for survival.

Knowing that this could become a protracted conflict, rebel forces have been demanding the resignation of Gbagbo as a precondition for ending the conflict. This is unlikely, since government forces are consolidating their ranks with more arms and external military support. Some Africans countries are also contemplating a military intervention in support of Gbagbo.

Now that we are getting a clearer picture of the rebel forces, we are of the opinion that their program is no better than that of Gbagbo's. It is believed that there are now three different rebel forces, who have also been fighting with each other. This has caused the rebels to lose ground. The peace process is in total disarray and the fighting remains serious. The war seems to be destined to last for some time.

The question that should now be asked is how Gbagbo and his government will handle the internal crisis after the end of the conflict. If he chooses to confront the crisis on ethnic and regional lines, instead of confronting the forces that are against the interests of the Ivorian people, he is bound to fail sooner than later.

--Ba Karang

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