Clinton lost because PA, WI, and MI have high casualty rates and saw her as pro-war, study says
Date Written: 06/07/2017
Year Published: 2017
Resource Type: Article
Cx Number: CX21048
A new study appears to show that Hilary Clinton lost the battleground states of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan in the 2016 presidential election because they had some of the highest casualty rates during the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and voters there saw Clinton as the pro-war candidate.
The study is titled "Battlefield Casualties and Ballot Box Defeat: Did the Bush-Obama Wars Cost Clinton the White House?" Authors Francis Shen, associate professor at the University of Minnesota Law School, and Dougas Kriner, a political science professor at Boston University, strike a populist note:
With so much post-election analysis, it is surprising that no one has pointed to the possibility that inequalities in wartime sacrifice might have tipped the election. Put simply: perhaps the small slice of America that is fighting and dying for the nation's security is tired of its political leaders ignoring this disproportionate burden.
Their study argues that there is a direct relationship between those states that gained Republican votes from Romney's defeat in 2012 to Trump's win in 2016 and those states that have higher casualty rates in Middle East wars.